Doc's Daily Commentary

Mind Of Mav

Is A Recession About To Happen?


The economy’s check engine light just came on. The signal, a possible recession.

While there’s no way to accurately predict what the market will do, economists use certain indicators to forecast the next recession.

One such gauge is the yield curve.

A yield curve is a graph that plots yields (interest rates) of bonds against maturity dates. Typically, the longer it takes to pay off a loan, the higher the interest rate.

But if the economy is struggling, the yield curve can begin to take on an inverted shape. (Note the inverse relationship between the yield and maturity. Short-term maturity has a higher yield).

This is called a yield curve inversion.

When short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates, it can be interpreted as a signal of an oncoming recession.

Last week, that inversion happened.

The two-year yield hit 2.44%, and the ten-year yield fell behind at 2.38%.

How did the economy get here? Poor economic sentiment due to global instability and inflation may be a factor. High inflation has elevated investor expectations for the Fed to aggressively raise interest rates this year.

When investors notice the economy is struggling, they demand higher interest payments on short-term loans. That’s because loans are less likely to be paid back when an economy (and its borrowers) are in trouble.

While prior performance is never indicative of future results, yield curves did invert in the early and mid-2000s before recessions.

It’s important to note that a yield curve inversion by itself doesn’t signal an immediate recession. It only serves as one of the possible indicators. As a long-term investor, it’s important to keep an eye on the yield curve and other indicators that may impact the economy and your portfolio. As always, do your own research before making decisions on investments.

The ReadySetCrypto "Three Token Pillars" Community Portfolio (V3)

Add your vote to the V3 Portfolio (Phase 3) by clicking here.

View V3 Portfolio (Phase 2) by clicking here.

View V3 Portfolio (Phase 1) by clicking here.

Read the V3 Portfolio guide by clicking here.

What is the goal of this portfolio?

The “Three Token Pillars” portfolio is democratically proportioned between the Three Pillars of the Token Economy & Interchain:

CryptoCurreny – Security Tokens (STO) – Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

With this portfolio, we will identify and take advantage of the opportunities within the Three
Pillars of ReadySetCrypto. We aim to Capitalise on the collective knowledge and experience of the RSC
community & build model portfolios containing the premier companies and projects
in the industry and manage risk allocation suitable for as many people as

The Second Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 was to give us a general idea of the weightings people desire in each of the three pillars and also member’s risk tolerance. The Third Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 has us closing in on a finalized portfolio allocation before we consolidated onto the highest quality projects.

Our Current Allocation As Of Phase Three:

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The ReadySetCrypto "Top Ten Crypto" Community Portfolio (V4)

Add your vote to the V4 Portfolio by clicking here.

Read about building Crypto Portfolio Diversity by clicking here.

What is the goal of this portfolio? 

The “Top Ten Crypto” portfolio is a democratically proportioned portfolio balanced based on votes from members of the RSC community as to what they believe are the top 10 projects by potential.
This portfolio should be much more useful given the ever-changing market dynamics. In short, you rank the projects you believe deserve a spot in the top 10. It should represent a portfolio and rank that you believe will stand the test of time. Once we have a good cross-section, we can study and make an assessment as to where we see value and perhaps where some diamonds in the rough opportunities exist. In a perfect world, we will end up with a Pareto-style distribution that describes the largest value capture in the market.
To give an update on the position, each one listed in low to high relative risk:
SoV/money == BTC, DCR
Platforms == ETH, XTZ
Private Money == XMR / ZEC / ZEN
DeFi == MKR / SNX and stablecoins
It is the most realistic way for us to distill the entirety of what we have learned (and that includes the RSC community opinion). We have an array of articles that have gradually picked off one by one different projects, some of which end up being many thousands of words to come to this conclusion. It is not capitulation because we all remain in the market. It is simply a consolidation of quality. We seek the cream of the crop as the milk turns sour on aggregate.

Current Top 10 Rankings:



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