Setting The Expected Move into April for BTC

According to the Deribit options chain, there is a +/- $4310 “expected move” into the 28th of April. This refers to a one standard deviation movement from the current price of BTC/USD $24,000.

You can see this forward expected move plotted out via a normal distribution graph:

This puts the upper bound at $28,310 and the lower bound at $19,690.

A one standard deviation price movement refers to a statistical measure of the volatility of a financial asset or security. In finance, standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of prices or returns from their average or mean value.

When the price of an asset moves one standard deviation away from its mean, it means that the price has moved a certain percentage above or below the average price, based on the historical volatility of the asset.

For example, if the average price of a coin is $100 and the standard deviation is 10%, a one standard deviation price movement would be $10. So, the asset price would be expected to move up or down by $10, or 10% of the average price, based on historical volatility.

There is also a 68.2% probability that the price will finish the month of April within this parabola.

The ReadySetCrypto "Three Token Pillars" Community Portfolio (V3)

Add your vote to the V3 Portfolio (Phase 3) by clicking here.

View V3 Portfolio (Phase 2) by clicking here.

View V3 Portfolio (Phase 1) by clicking here.

Read the V3 Portfolio guide by clicking here.

What is the goal of this portfolio?

The “Three Token Pillars” portfolio is democratically proportioned between the Three Pillars of the Token Economy & Interchain:

CryptoCurreny – Security Tokens (STO) – Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

With this portfolio, we will identify and take advantage of the opportunities within the Three
Pillars of ReadySetCrypto. We aim to Capitalise on the collective knowledge and experience of the RSC
community & build model portfolios containing the premier companies and projects
in the industry and manage risk allocation suitable for as many people as
possible.

The Second Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 was to give us a general idea of the weightings people desire in each of the three pillars and also member’s risk tolerance. The Third Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 has us closing in on a finalized portfolio allocation before we consolidated onto the highest quality projects.

Our Current Allocation As Of Phase Three:

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The ReadySetCrypto "Top Ten Crypto" Community Portfolio (V4)

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Read about building Crypto Portfolio Diversity by clicking here.

What is the goal of this portfolio?

The “Top Ten Crypto” portfolio is a democratically proportioned portfolio balanced based on votes from members of the RSC community as to what they believe are the top 10 projects by potential.

This portfolio should be much more useful given the ever-changing market dynamics. In short, you rank the projects you believe deserve a spot in the top 10. It should represent a portfolio and rank that you believe will stand the test of time. Once we have a good cross-section, we can study and make an assessment as to where we see value and perhaps where some diamonds in the rough opportunities exist. In a perfect world, we will end up with a Pareto-style distribution that describes the largest value capture in the market.

To give an update on the position, each one listed in low to high relative risk:

SoV/money == BTC, DCR

Platforms == ETH, XTZ

Private Money == XMR / ZEC / ZEN

DeFi == MKR / SNX and stablecoins

It is the most realistic way for us to distill the entirety of what we have learned (and that includes the RSC community opinion). We have an array of articles that have gradually picked off one by one different projects, some of which end up being many thousands of words to come to this conclusion. It is not capitulation because we all remain in the market. It is simply a consolidation of quality. We seek the cream of the crop as the milk turns sour on aggregate.

Current Top 10 Rankings:

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