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Doc's Daily Commentary and Watchlist

Mind Of Mav

Where’s the Most Likely Pullback Support for BTC? 

 

With Bitcoing showing a “Golden Cross” today with the 50 day SMA crossing above the 200 day SMA, this is a perfect time for pro traders to “fade the herd” likely to jump on board this bullish signal. BTC has an exhausted Weekly chart and the probabilities are elevated of seeing a pullback in the near future. 

 

Where should the price find support? 

 

The first area that I like to look for is the standard Fib Retracements of 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. 

This shows that the 38.2% retracement is at the 21235 level, and the 50% retracement is at the 20301 level on BTC. I like the idea that the price might find support above the 200 day moving average in green, so this favors the 50% retracement at 20301. 

 

Now let’s throw on volume profile for the last several months; we don’t need more data than that. Where is the volume profile showing support and resistance? 

Very interesting…this shows that there is really strong profile support from about 19000 up to 21200, which is right where the 38.2% retracement is. This shows me that price might have a difficult time retracing back UNDER $21k, so it might line up nicely with the 21235 fib retracement. 

 

Watch for an RSI hook signal long to show up if the price finds support at 21k!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The ReadySetCrypto "Three Token Pillars" Community Portfolio (V3)

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The “Three Token Pillars” portfolio is democratically proportioned between the Three Pillars of the Token Economy & Interchain:

CryptoCurreny – Security Tokens (STO) – Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

With this portfolio, we will identify and take advantage of the opportunities within the Three
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The Second Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 was to give us a general idea of the weightings people desire in each of the three pillars and also member’s risk tolerance. The Third Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 has us closing in on a finalized portfolio allocation before we consolidated onto the highest quality projects.

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What is the goal of this portfolio? 

The “Top Ten Crypto” portfolio is a democratically proportioned portfolio balanced based on votes from members of the RSC community as to what they believe are the top 10 projects by potential.
This portfolio should be much more useful given the ever-changing market dynamics. In short, you rank the projects you believe deserve a spot in the top 10. It should represent a portfolio and rank that you believe will stand the test of time. Once we have a good cross-section, we can study and make an assessment as to where we see value and perhaps where some diamonds in the rough opportunities exist. In a perfect world, we will end up with a Pareto-style distribution that describes the largest value capture in the market.
To give an update on the position, each one listed in low to high relative risk:
SoV/money == BTC, DCR
Platforms == ETH, XTZ
Private Money == XMR / ZEC / ZEN
DeFi == MKR / SNX and stablecoins
It is the most realistic way for us to distill the entirety of what we have learned (and that includes the RSC community opinion). We have an array of articles that have gradually picked off one by one different projects, some of which end up being many thousands of words to come to this conclusion. It is not capitulation because we all remain in the market. It is simply a consolidation of quality. We seek the cream of the crop as the milk turns sour on aggregate.

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