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Mind Of Mav

What Will Reignite The Crypto Market?


“Everything feels unprecedented when you haven’t engaged with history.”

So, before we discuss what likely makes the crypto bull market really return, and especially if you’re new to crypto or feeling anxious about the markets, I think it’s crucial you first read & understand a short story I’d like to share with you.

This story is about the surprisingly predictable patterns of Bitcoin’s price, which at the time of writing, is hovering around $20,000, a price level is a really big deal psychologically to Bitcoin traders — Because, you see, in late 2017, BTC nearly crossed $20k for the first time, stopping just short before painfully crashing back down and spending three long years struggling to get back to $20k again

What’s so interesting is the same thing also happened following 2013. BTC crossed $1k for the first time, but not long after its price disastrously declined with the news of a massive hack at Mt.Gox in early 2014, which at the time was the world’s largest crypto exchange, processing 70-80% of all Bitcoin trading volume. In comparison, Binance, which is currently the world’s largest exchange, handles only about 7% of all Bitcoin trading volume.

So, if we look at both of these examples of Bitcoin’s rips and dips over the years for patterns, we can start to see that there’s an undeniable recurring 4 year cycle with Bitcoin’s price behavior, and it begins with the year Bitcoin sets a new ATH — 2013, 2017, and 2021. Following that euphoric rise, Bitcoin, along with the crypto markets, then completely crashes sometime in the following year: 2014, 2018, and now 2022. 

Something to note about those crashes is that going from crypto peak to floor has historically taken ~12 months. I expect that pattern to play out again this year into 2023, especially considering Bitcoin’s most recent peak was set Nov 2021. 

That’s why it’s important you understand what happens during the 3rd year of the cycle; the one that comes after the year Bitcoin crashes: 2015, 2019, and now likely 2023, because that’s when the market is sideways, that’s when crypto seems boring or “dead”, that’s when all the hype-driven tourists have left, and above all, that’s when the real crypto investors are busy building wealth and that’s when the real crypto developers are busy building the next big thing, without the distractions or all of the noise that comes with a bull market.

The sideways year represents the shift from a pessimistic bear market to a quietly focused build market, and is what sets the stage for the final year of Bitcoin’s 4 year price cycle: the year of Bitcoin’s halving event, which coincidentally happens every 4 years: 2016, 2020, and 2024. 

Because the timing of is very predictable and thus will be priced in, the halving event does not likely kick off a bull market by itself, at least for a few months pre and post halving, but historically it has been the case that the reduced supply schedule affects Bitcoin prices positively the following year after the miner shakeup self-corrects. 

Thus, simply going off Bitcoin’s predictable 4 year price cycle of Crash -> Sideways -> Halving -> ATH, we can expect a new Bitcoin ATH in 2025, just like we saw in 2017 and 2021. 

Here’s what that looks like:

2013 – Bitcoin’s all time high

2014 – crash

2015 – sideways

2016 – halving event

2017 – Bitcoin’s all time high

2018 – crash

2019 – sideways

2020 – halving event

2021 – Bitcoin’s all time high

2022 – crash

2023 – sideways

2024 – halving event

2025 – Bitcoin’s all time high

No matter what, Bitcoin’s recurring 4 year market cycle will play an important role in making the crypto bull market return and see us chasing all time highs again. Tomorrow I’m going to discuss more of the catalysts for a reversal on the macro side.



The ReadySetCrypto "Three Token Pillars" Community Portfolio (V3)

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What is the goal of this portfolio?

The “Three Token Pillars” portfolio is democratically proportioned between the Three Pillars of the Token Economy & Interchain:

CryptoCurreny – Security Tokens (STO) – Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

With this portfolio, we will identify and take advantage of the opportunities within the Three
Pillars of ReadySetCrypto. We aim to Capitalise on the collective knowledge and experience of the RSC
community & build model portfolios containing the premier companies and projects
in the industry and manage risk allocation suitable for as many people as

The Second Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 was to give us a general idea of the weightings people desire in each of the three pillars and also member’s risk tolerance. The Third Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 has us closing in on a finalized portfolio allocation before we consolidated onto the highest quality projects.

Our Current Allocation As Of Phase Three:

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The ReadySetCrypto "Top Ten Crypto" Community Portfolio (V4)

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What is the goal of this portfolio? 

The “Top Ten Crypto” portfolio is a democratically proportioned portfolio balanced based on votes from members of the RSC community as to what they believe are the top 10 projects by potential.
This portfolio should be much more useful given the ever-changing market dynamics. In short, you rank the projects you believe deserve a spot in the top 10. It should represent a portfolio and rank that you believe will stand the test of time. Once we have a good cross-section, we can study and make an assessment as to where we see value and perhaps where some diamonds in the rough opportunities exist. In a perfect world, we will end up with a Pareto-style distribution that describes the largest value capture in the market.
To give an update on the position, each one listed in low to high relative risk:
SoV/money == BTC, DCR
Platforms == ETH, XTZ
Private Money == XMR / ZEC / ZEN
DeFi == MKR / SNX and stablecoins
It is the most realistic way for us to distill the entirety of what we have learned (and that includes the RSC community opinion). We have an array of articles that have gradually picked off one by one different projects, some of which end up being many thousands of words to come to this conclusion. It is not capitulation because we all remain in the market. It is simply a consolidation of quality. We seek the cream of the crop as the milk turns sour on aggregate.

Current Top 10 Rankings:



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