
Doc's Daily Commentary and Watchlist

Mind Of Mav
Is the Fed Done With Hiking Rates?
This week was really pivotal from the “inflation” front as the Consumer Price Index (retail) and Producer Price Index (Wholesale) were released this week in the US. These two numbers show whether the inflation is rising or falling with respect to the consumer, and suppliers.
The Consumer Price Index showed that inflation is still up 4.9% year-over-year, which is slightly below the Fed’s discount rate as of last week. Producer Price Index came in at 2.3% yoy which is much closer to the Fed’s target rate. One can also state that the PPI is a “leading” number while CPI is a “lagging” number, since producer inflation rolls downhill.
With the release of this morning’s PPI, futures markets started to price in NO rate hikes in the June meeting which is five weeks away.
No doubt this probability will change over the next few weeks but the fight against inflation seems to be on the downhill side…for now.
How does this affect Crypto? Falling interest rates encourages investment into risk assets like crypto and tech stocks, which have been joined at the hip for the past year.

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