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Mind Of Mav

Bitcoin’s Options Market Has Overtaken Futures Market

This year has seen a resurgence in the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) notably doubling its value. This surge is attributed to factors like demand for safe-haven assets, anticipation surrounding a U.S. spot ETF, and expectations of a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve.

Initially, most of the trading activity was focused on Bitcoin’s spot and futures markets. However, the options market, which provides a cost-effective means to speculate on Bitcoin’s price movement, has gained prominence. According to CoinGlass data, the open interest (OI) in BTC options has now eclipsed that of the futures market, with $17.39 billion in active options contracts surpassing the futures market’s $15.84 billion.

Luuk Strijers, Chief Commercial Officer at Deribit, a leading crypto options exchange, interprets this trend as a sign of market maturation. He explained to CoinDesk that the shift towards options demonstrates a growing preference for more sophisticated trading strategies, including strategic positioning, hedging, and capitalizing on implied volatility.

The expansion of the options market also means that traders must now consider the effects of factors like quarterly and monthly settlements and the hedging activities of market makers on Bitcoin’s spot prices.

Options are derivatives that grant buyers the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price before a specified date. Call options provide the right to buy, and put options the right to sell. Traditionally used for risk mitigation, options can also be used by speculators to magnify returns, with bulls typically purchasing puts for downside protection and bears using calls to guard against price surges. Effective options trading relies on understanding key metrics, known as the Greeks – delta, gamma, theta, and rho – which influence the price of an options contract.

The rising popularity of options can be attributed to their flexibility, allowing traders to hedge and profit not only from Bitcoin price movements but also from factors like market volatility and time. Earlier in the year, strategies like writing or selling options during market lulls to earn additional yield were popular. More recently, traders have been purchasing options to benefit from the spike in market volatility, positively impacting option prices.

In contrast to options, spot and futures markets are more one-dimensional, focusing solely on price direction. Futures contracts, which involve higher leverage and greater risk than options, commit buyers and sellers to a future transaction of an asset. This leverage can lead to substantial losses exceeding initial deposits and potential forced liquidations by exchanges.

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The “Three Token Pillars” portfolio is democratically proportioned between the Three Pillars of the Token Economy & Interchain:

CryptoCurreny – Security Tokens (STO) – Decentralized Finance (DeFi)

With this portfolio, we will identify and take advantage of the opportunities within the Three
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community & build model portfolios containing the premier companies and projects
in the industry and manage risk allocation suitable for as many people as
possible.

The Second Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 was to give us a general idea of the weightings people desire in each of the three pillars and also member’s risk tolerance. The Third Phase of the RSC Community Portfolio V3 has us closing in on a finalized portfolio allocation before we consolidated onto the highest quality projects.

Our Current Allocation As Of Phase Three:

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What is the goal of this portfolio? 

The “Top Ten Crypto” portfolio is a democratically proportioned portfolio balanced based on votes from members of the RSC community as to what they believe are the top 10 projects by potential.
This portfolio should be much more useful given the ever-changing market dynamics. In short, you rank the projects you believe deserve a spot in the top 10. It should represent a portfolio and rank that you believe will stand the test of time. Once we have a good cross-section, we can study and make an assessment as to where we see value and perhaps where some diamonds in the rough opportunities exist. In a perfect world, we will end up with a Pareto-style distribution that describes the largest value capture in the market.
To give an update on the position, each one listed in low to high relative risk:
SoV/money == BTC, DCR
Platforms == ETH, XTZ
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It is the most realistic way for us to distill the entirety of what we have learned (and that includes the RSC community opinion). We have an array of articles that have gradually picked off one by one different projects, some of which end up being many thousands of words to come to this conclusion. It is not capitulation because we all remain in the market. It is simply a consolidation of quality. We seek the cream of the crop as the milk turns sour on aggregate.

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