Premium Daily Crypto NewsletterOctober 2, 2018
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Crypto Market Commentary
Mav's Daily Commentary
Markets Start To Shift Towards Bearish Disposition
Are We Falling Back To $6,000/BTC?
Another uneventful day left the market down only 2 Billion as both Bulls and Bears struggled to find reason to rally their cause.
Taking into account overall market sentiment, low volume, and an apparent weak market structure, it’s more plausible that we have a large break down in the coming days than a rally upward.
One of the more interesting takeaways from today was a recent bullish forecast issued by J. Christopher Giancarlo, the top derivatives regulator in the United States.
Giancarlo, the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stated in an interview with CNBC that:
“I personally think that cryptocurrencies are here to stay. I think there is a future for them. I’m not sure they ever come to rival the dollar or other hard currencies, but there’s a whole section of the world that really is hungry for functioning currencies that they can’t find in their local currencies. There’s 140 countries in the world, every one of them has a currency. Probably two-thirds are not worth the polymer or the paper they’re written on, and those parts of the world rely on hard currencies. Bitcoin [or another] cryptocurrency may solve some of the problems.”
“We’re talking maybe 10 years down the road,” he clarified.
“There’s no question that the United States is leading in a number of areas,” he continued, referencing the burgeoning U.S. bitcoin derivatives market, “but there’s other areas as well of innovation where I think it makes sense for us to take a little bit more of a thoughtful and intelligent approach, just as the U.S. Congress did 20 years ago in the early days of the internet.”
While Giancarlo has shown previously his affinity for the space, it’s reassuring to see him continue to issue these positive statements. Furthermore, we’re interested in the upcoming Fintech Forward event in DC this week which will be hosted by the CFTC. Though it’s unlikely that we’ll see anything substantial come out of it, we will have several contacts in attendance who will fill us in if the opposite is true.
As we continue to see fear rise in the markets, positive regulatory guidance could prove essential to helping us stem the tide. Another element is the continued operation of the largest projects in the space.
One such example was the recent allegations that EOS block producers were allegedly involved in collusion and mutual voting.
As 12 out of the 21 EOS block producers are Chinese entities, the evidence came to light that Huobi was colluding among them in the form of a spreadsheet with entries for “node mutual voting tables” and “node income statements”.
In a statement on medium, Brendan Blumer, CEO and Founder of Block.one, confirmed that EOS is “aware of some unverified claims regarding irregular block producer voting, and the subsequent denials of those claims.”
Despite that, one of the most frequently discussed weaknesses of the dPOS consensus mechanism in use by EOS is this centralization and potential for block producer collaboration. As the current block producers vote on who will be added or removed from the group of 21, this presents a problem where collusion could have producers stay in power indefinitely.
Overall, this shows the vulnerabilities of an experimental stage of decentralized systems we’re in. Finding and eliminating such liabilities will be one of the biggest challenges over the next couple of years.
The point is that this is necessary to create something better. Trial and error is part of the scientific method, and we’re very much in the early days of this technology.
While EOS’s issues are inexcusable, hopefully, this shows why multiple solutions to the same problem are necessary, and why it’s important you don’t put all your eggs in one basket at this early stage. Hedge your bets, and never consider any one project the “best”, because we’re years away from anything resembling complete manifestations.
We’ve started to produce episodes for The ReadySetCrypto Podcast; all of our episodes are posted on our blog (and on iTunes) and Episode Thirteen is now available. Episode Thirteen is our interview with the CEO of Internxt about his upcoming beta of distributed storage services using Xcloud. (like a Dropbox). Look for more episodes shortly as we comb the crypto space for valuable interviews, and create valuable content to keep you in the loop! See you tomorrow!
Doc's Daily Commentary
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Offense – Adding Trades
Offensive Actions for the next trading day:
- Ripple(XRP) is showing positive activity but we don’t want to chase after it.
Defense – Managing Risk
Defensive Actions for the next trading day:
RSC Managed Crypto Fund
How to read this portfolio: Please read through the FAQ tab
- ETH/USD 2% added 8/10/2018 @ $363.14
- ETH/USD 2% added 9/9/2018 @ $200.50 (10% more to add)
- LTC/USD 2% added 8/10/2018 @ $62.56. (5% more to add)
- XMR/BTC 2% added 9/21/2018 @ .018BTC
RSC Altcoin-Exclusive Crypto Fund
Technical Analysis Research
In today’s video I share the levels that need to break to either confirm the continued uptrend on BTC and ETH, or change polarity to a downtrend.
In August we introduced a new “fund” project that we’ll be creating over the next few months, in piecemeal form. I will be slowly and methodically creating a “fund” with (currently) 23 assets that we will do “live” or at least very plainly indicate where we intend to enter portions of assets. As long as the market continues grinding down in a bear, we will use sentiment-based entries to hopefully secure a better entry. All that I saw were bear flags tonight; we are close to some good entries on coins showing positive divergence on the RSI. Going forward into the end of this year my plan is to do a LOT more swing trading; what would really help is a decent derivatives exchange. I am looking for big things from Digitex in this regard, which will be a commission-free futures platform however all trades must be made in DGTX as the base currency. Put yourself on the waitlist for this platform by clicking here. I have started to acquire DGTX tokens at Mercatox in anticipation of them turning up their platform, and this looks to be a good candidate for a pump prior to the production event. Here are the recent swings that we’re tracking in the portfolio below; :
- DGB/BTC – long @ .00000608 (7/23). My target exit is .000008BTC.
- WTC/BTC – Long @ .00155980BTC (4/23). My target exit is at .002BTC.
- ADA/BTC – Long @ .00003931BTC (5/1) My target exit is at .00005BTC.
- ONT/BTC – long @ .0008905 (5/20) My target is .0013BTC.
- ETP/BTC – long @ .000522BTC (9/21) My target is .00072BTC
Please keep in mind that if you want to follow these trades, I am using FIXED RISK POSITION SIZING. This means that I am using a fixed amount of risk capital that is based on my account size, like 2%. I am assuming that the trade will burn to the ground and that I will lose that entire capital position! Only in this manner can one effectively manage a position the way that you have to. If you’ve every checked your blockfolio nervously every 5 minutes when you’re underwater, this will prevent that. I will track these positions in this area and not in the main portfolio section. I will use a public portfolio tool to do so, which you can access by clicking below:
I hope you all got a chance to catch my webinar class from earlier this year; if not, the replay is available here. If you missed my earlier webinar, “More Profits in 2018; Ten Ways to Chart Like a Pro.” then you can catch the replay here. My new class “Introduction to Technical Analysis” is now available via our online store.
If you go to buy any of our courses at our online “store” you can receive $10 off the street price with your member’s “coupon code” of member18crypto..
Coinigy is a great tool for determining prices on each exchange, however I may not have access to the full suite of tools on TradingView charts. I am currently not using it as a front-end GUI for my exchanges, which it supports.I also use Blockfolio and/or Delta to give me a quick snapshot of my holdings, and find that it does an excellent job to aggregate all of my holdings into one easy-to-read snapshot of my cryptocurrencies, which are typically located in many different places.
I am also trialing the Profit Trailer and CryptoHopper trading apps which are working well in this choppy market.
Fundamental Currency Research
For flipping Good.
For long-term holding Neutral.
What is it?
What is our verdict?
What we like: Supernodes are very interesting. No trading commissions for users.
What we don’t like: There are many exchanges already on the market. Transaction mining isn’t currently solvent.
- Project name: Bgogo Exchange
- Token symbol: BGG
- Website: https://bgogo.com
- White paper: https://bgogo.com/assets/white-paper/BGG-Token-Whitepaper-v1.8EN.pdf
- Hard cap: 17,000 ETH (15,000 ETH during private sale and to supernodes, 2,000 ETH during public sale) for 10% of total tokens
- Conversion rate: Private sale: 1 ETH = 66,666 BGG; public sale: 1 ETH = 69,999.3 BGG.
- Maximum market cap at ICO on a fully diluted basis: $51 million based on current ETH price of $300
- Bonus structure: Whitelisted public sale participants have a 5% bonus over the private sale price, with no lockup period.
- Private sale: The private sale has already been completed with 10,500 ETH raised from 21 supernodes and 4,500 ETH from strategic investors.
- White list: Bgogo’s public sale will be a Genesis Mining event (exact date to be confirmed) that will start 24 hours before mining is officially opened to the public. Only whitelisted users can participate. Details on the Genesis Mining event can be found here: https://bgogo.com/announcement?link=mining.
- ERC20 token: Yes (will be switched to native tokens when the mainnet is launched)
- Countries excluded: TBA
- Timeline: TBA
- Token distribution date: TBA
2017- 2018Q2 Portfolio (Discontinued)
How to read this portfolio: Please click on the Chart Key tab above for definitions and color codes. The colors correspond to our 7 categories in the graphic below.