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Doc's Daily Commentary and Watchlist

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Mind Of Mav

Bitcoin Sets Sights on $175K to $450K Cycle Peak

On October 29, Bitcoin recorded its highest-ever three-day close at $72,724, following an 8.75% rally within 24 hours. With BTC breaking above its resistance at $71,500, investors are eyeing a potential return on investment (ROI) of 145% to 530% over the next 12 months, according to key technical indicators.

Bitcoin appears poised to break out of a seven-month consolidation phase, leading the market toward a potential period of price discovery as it reaches new all-time highs. Analysts suggest that Bitcoin’s past price peaks have typically followed Fibonacci retracement levels, specifically between 1.618 and 2.272 extensions from prior swings. Under the current setup, these levels project a price target of $173,088 at 1.618 and $458,319 at 2.272.

Historically, Bitcoin’s tops have slightly undershot these Fibonacci projections. In 2013, the price slightly exceeded the 2.272 level, while in 2018 and 2021, the peaks fell below it—$69,800 in 2021 remained under the 1.618 level. If the pattern of diminishing returns continues, Bitcoin’s next cycle peak in 2025 or 2026 could potentially fall below $173,000, reflecting a four-year trend of reduced returns.

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