Premium Daily Crypto Newsletter

September 17, 2018

Crypto Market Commentary

Mav's Daily Commentary

Markets Sink Due To Skeletons In The Closet

Yes, It’s Mt.Gox Again

The market was trending downwards today until some recent news caused it to fall quickly, ending the day nearly 10 Billion in the red.

So what happened?

 

Well, Mt.Gox, the bankrupt Bitcoin exchange that collapsed in 2014, is rumored to soon distribute $1 billion worth of cryptocurrencies to the creditors affected by the massive hack and subsequent shutdown.

 

While many of the articles on this topic, including large sites like Cointelegraph, tried to paint it as a coming storm which likely contributed to sell pressure today, the reality is much less newsworthy.

Wiz Security [WizSec] clarified that the Bitcoin belong to a Mt.Gox whale, not Mt.Gox itself, adding:

 

“A recent article quotes me as predicting an imminent BTC market crash due to MtGox payouts. This is FUD with cherry-picked quotes. MtGox is nowhere near payouts and the eventual market impact can be greatly mitigated depending on the trustee’s actions.”

 

Furthermore, if we actually go to the subbreddit devoted to the Mt.Gox insolvency rehabilitation, we can see the timeline is nowhere near payouts: https://redd.it/9bqxwn

 

Basic conjecture would have them doing distributions by summer 2019 at the earliest, and it is very unlikely they will simply dump all 160k BTC on the market at once.

 

It is very possible there are missing pieces to this story I missed, given the massive amount of misinformation out there, but what should be apparent is the absolutely atrocious reporting on this matter by those declaring this will “crash the market”.

 

As we saw with the Goldman news earlier this month, the truth is often a lot less sensationalized than the headlines would have you believe. While 100% skepticism isn’t the answer, I implore you to at least take the time to see if there’s truth to what headlines are proclaiming, especially when that claim is affecting the market.

 

We can see that the shorts are loving this, and I don’t blame them. We’re nearly back to an ATH for BTCUSD shorts, and with a SEC decision coming down about the Bitcoin ETF in the next two weeks, there could very well be some additional selling.

Add on to this fresh new ETH fears today. EOS, which suffered a very real 600k smart contract hack over the period of 36 hours, did not fall as far as ETH did today. So, what happened?

 

SEC Chairman, Jay Clayton, made a comment recently, saying:

 

“The Commission’s longstanding position is that all staff statements are nonbinding and create no enforceable legal rights or obligations of the Commission or other parties.”

 

So, what’s the big deal about that?

 

Well, ETH became the number two cryptocurrency cleared against security allegations earlier this year when SEC Director of Corporation Finance, William Hinman, said, “In its current state, we don’t see value regulating it [as a security].”

 

Or so we thought. Because Clayton’s remarks remind us that Hinman’s statement is not legally binding, it opens up the door previously thought closed: Will the SEC rescind Hinman’s position on ETH’s security status?

That question alone is why ETH is the top loser in the top 25 today, and will certainly keep up some investors at night. Personally, we find it unlikely that the Director of Corporation Finance would make such a bold statement without having concrete reasons for doing so. Additionally, that statement was made in June, so for it to live unchecked for 3 months is nonsensical.

 

That said, what people need to understand is that the government is very large. Even within entities like the SEC, it is possible for different departments to have different interpretations of the law. Essentially, governments are not monolithic creatures they are often ascribed as; they are made of people and are inherently prone to error.

 

So, hopefully, we see a concise position taken on both the Bitcoin ETF as well as Ethereum’s security status, but we may be chasing specters for some time.

 

Doc has started to do a frequent live “Trade School” video; watch for announcements and links in the “Premium Chat” room of our Discord site. 

If you missed Mav’s webinar “Top Ten Ways to Create Passive Income With Crypto” then you can watch the webinar at this link

We’ve started to produce episodes for The ReadySetCrypto Podcast; all of our episodes are posted on our blog (and on iTunes) and Episode Twelve is now available. Episode Twelve goes into the topic of “market manipulation.” Why it happens, when it happens, and how to protect yourself from it. Look for more episodes shortly as we comb the crypto space for valuable interviews, and create valuable content to keep you in the loop!

See you tomorrow!

Doc's Daily Commentary

Our Weekly Premium-Only Livestream

Our next scheduled Premium-Only Livestream is scheduled for 19 September 2018 at 8 PM EDT (UTC/GMT -4 hours). Watch below for new link. Doc has also been doing a daily “Trade School” video with links in the Premium Chat room of the Discord page.

Our Public Livestream

New to Cryptocurrencies? Check out our archived classes “Intro to Cryptocurrency Trading”, “How to Find Your Next Big Cryptocurrency: Intro to Fundamental Analysis,” Mav’s  class on “Security and Wallets” and Doc’s classes, “Introduction to Technical Analysis” and “Short Term Trading Strategies” which are now all available for immediate purchase in our Store, and seconds away from viewing in the Premium Member’s Home. View more about them at our online store by CLICKING HERE.

Last Thursday we held a “Passive Income” webinar. Click here for the replay!

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Check out our BLOG for the latest videos, posts, and Podcasts! Click this link and bookmark the page!

If you go to buy any of our courses at our online “store” you can receive $10 off the street price with your member’s “coupon code” of member18crypto

Check out our new merch store! Simply go into the regular store and select “Merchandise” to pick up some RSC merch!

Offense – Adding Trades

Offensive Actions for the next trading day: 

  • Potential swing trades showing on ETP/BTC, DOGE/BTC, and ETH/USD; please view today’s video for setup information.
  • If the $100 support level holds we’ll look to add XMRUSD to our managed portfolio.

Defense – Managing Risk

Defensive Actions for the next trading day: 

  • None.

RSC Managed Crypto Fund

[visualizer id="72847"]
How to read this portfolio: Please read through the FAQ tab

  • ETH/USD 2% added 8/10/2018 @ $363.14
  • ETH/USD 2% added 9/9/2018 @ $200.50 (10% more to add)
  • LTC/USD 2% added 8/10/2018 @ $62.56.  (6% more to add)
What is the RSC Managed Cryptocurrency Fund?: We have one goal: To beat the market. To do this, we aim to balance risk vs. reward. Additionally, we aim to enter positions advantageously and in small increments, not all at once. As such, the pie chart you see above is representative of our “expected” portfolio, but will likely not match our “actual” portfolio. Why don’t you just buy into every position at once?: We aim to not only beat the market, but do so in a way that allows us greater leverage than simply buying in all at once. To do this, we will DCA into our positions to lower the average buy-in, and allow us greater yield from our initial capital seed. This also allows you the flexibility to follow our documented moves or immediately buy in when you want. We expect this will help you follow along easier as our moves are more deliberate. By setting targets for allocation, you know exactly how we intend to diversify our portfolio. Why are you only targeting large caps? Where is ____ coin?: We are targeting large market capitalization coins regardless of our belief in their viability as this enables us to diversify our risk and improve our chances of staying positive. We can hedge our bets by creating a fund that incorporates all of the major assets yet distinguishes between them based on the allocation. For example, we allocated more to Ethereum over its competitors as we feel it has more built-in longevity given its status as the default ICO platform. Of course, that can change, and as such we will be periodically rebalancing this fund as we redetermine viability and yield. Can I invest in this fund / can you manage my funds?: Not at this time. We are looking for ways to legally tokenize a fund such as this, but at this time no avenue exists for US citizens. Will we be adding small caps / ICOs?: It is likely we will be starting a separate fund dedicated solely to small caps / ICOs. We feel that the market simply isn’t showing favorable risk / reward signs for us to be trading them right now, but that will likely change soon. Why was the previous portfolio discontinued?: We felt it wasn’t correctly connecting with our customers as we started it in late 2017 and even during the 2018 bear market we were still very profitable. The same could not be said for customers who joined us during the bear market and tried to replicate our portfolio. Simply put: we wanted a portfolio that was easier to follow along with and less risky for our customers while still aiming for profitability.

Click on image to download the datasheet

RSC Altcoin-Exclusive Crypto Fund

[visualizer id="74717"]
What is this? The RSC Altcoin Fund is meant to replace our V1 portfolio. This portfolio, referred to as Portfolio V3, will represent a portfolio that is built upon more risky assets (assets outside the top 20), and is inherently more risky than Portfolio V2, the RSC Managed Crypto Fund (above). We will NOT be actively entering positions for this fund, but we will be updating the portfolio percentages and contents periodically.

Click on image to download the datasheet

Click on the image to download the TXT file

 

Technical Analysis Research

We pulled out the Fibs today to show how to evaluate price levels and understand probabilities of holding that level; BTC looks like it might re-test $6100 again. ETH is still hanging in there. Few other setups while we process the Bear; this is all part of the plan, folks.

 

 

In August we introduced a new “fund” project that we’ll be creating over the next few months, in piecemeal form. I will be slowly and methodically creating a “fund” with (currently) 23 assets that we will do “live” or at least very plainly indicate where we intend to enter portions of assets.   As long as the market continues grinding down in a bear, we will use sentiment-based entries to hopefully secure a better entry.  All that I saw were bear flags tonight; we are close to some good entries on coins showing positive divergence on the RSI.  Going forward into the end of this year my plan is to do a LOT more swing trading; what would really help is a decent derivatives exchange. I am looking for big things from Digitex in this regard, which will be a commission-free futures platform however all trades must be made in DGTX as the base currency. Put yourself on the waitlist for this platform by clicking here. I have started to acquire DGTX tokens at Mercatox in anticipation of them turning up their platform, and this looks to be a good candidate for a pump prior to the production event. Here are the recent swings that we’re tracking in the portfolio below; :

  • DGB/BTC – long @ .00000608 (7/23). My target exit is .000008BTC.
  • WTC/BTC – Long @ .00155980BTC (4/23). My target exit is at .002BTC.
  • ADA/BTC – Long @ .00003931BTC (5/1) My target exit is at .00005BTC.
  • ONT/BTC – long @ .0008905 (5/20) My target is .0013BTC.

Please keep in mind that if you want to follow these trades, I am using FIXED RISK POSITION SIZING. This means that I am using a fixed amount of risk capital that is based on my account size, like 2%. I am assuming that the trade will burn to the ground and that I will lose that entire capital position! Only in this manner can one effectively manage a position the way that you have to. If you’ve every checked your blockfolio nervously every 5 minutes when you’re underwater, this will prevent that.   I will track these positions in this area and not in the main portfolio section. I will use a public portfolio tool to do so, which you can access by clicking below:

Public Swing Portfolio Link

I hope you all got a chance to catch my webinar class from earlier this year; if not, the replay is available here.  If you missed my earlier webinar, “More Profits in 2018; Ten Ways to Chart Like a Pro.” then you can catch the replay here.   My new class “Introduction to Technical Analysis” is now available via our online store.

If you go to buy any of our courses at our online “store” you can receive $10 off the street price with your member’s “coupon code” of member18crypto..

We’ve started to do some swing trades on alts, tracked in the previous section. I am mostly focusing on the top 10-20 coins for now until we confirm that we’re back into an overall bull market.
I am doing the majority of my Technical Analysis work on TradingView, and I have a BitFinex app on both my iPad and Android smartphone. All of these charting platforms call a TradingView API. TradingView is the 800 lb. gorilla in the Crypto charting space until the “established” players want to make a go at Crypto, like Ninjatrader, Tradestation, eSignal, Sierra charts, etc. My sense is that TradingView has such a head start that it will be very difficult for the big boys to make a dent in this space for a while. Until that point, TradingView has almost a monopoly in this space. If you have a particular tool that you think is superior, please let me know.   You can access the BitFinex and TradingView platforms for free, however there are some paid features that you might want to consider depending on your needs, such as expanded watchlists, different study sets, account alerts, etc.

  Coinigy is a great tool for determining prices on each exchange, however I may not have access to the full suite of tools on TradingView charts. I am currently not using it as a front-end GUI for my exchanges, which it supports.I also use Blockfolio and/or Delta to give me a quick snapshot of my holdings, and find that it does an excellent job to aggregate all of my holdings into one easy-to-read snapshot of my cryptocurrencies, which are typically located in many different places.

 

I am also trialing the Profit Trailer and CryptoHopper trading apps which are working well in this choppy market.

Fundamental Currency Research

In this section we’ll feature a daily ICO or new coin we think you should check out. Based on your country, you may not be able to participate in the ICO, but you will be able to trade the coin once it is listed on an exchange following its ICO (usually only a couple of weeks). ICOs are where a lot of money in crypto is made. Here’s proof.   That said, we should warn you: ICOs are highly risky endeavours and you need to mitigate any potential losses. Treat it as money you’ve lost the moment you contribute to the ICO. We are not responsible for the ICO’s performance. Today’s featured ICO / New Coin is:

Bgogo Exchange

For flipping Good.

For long-term holding Neutral.

What is it? 

What is our verdict? 

What we like: Supernodes are very interesting. No trading commissions for users.

What we don’t like: There are many exchanges already on the market. Transaction mining isn’t currently solvent.

  • Project name: Bgogo Exchange
  • Token symbol: BGG
  • Website: https://bgogo.com
  • White paper: https://bgogo.com/assets/white-paper/BGG-Token-Whitepaper-v1.8EN.pdf
  • Hard cap: 17,000 ETH (15,000 ETH during private sale and to supernodes, 2,000 ETH during public sale) for 10% of total tokens
  • Conversion rate: Private sale: 1 ETH = 66,666 BGG; public sale: 1 ETH = 69,999.3 BGG.
  • Maximum market cap at ICO on a fully diluted basis: $51 million based on current ETH price of $300
  • Bonus structure: Whitelisted public sale participants have a 5% bonus over the private sale price, with no lockup period.
  • Private sale: The private sale has already been completed with 10,500 ETH raised from 21 supernodes and 4,500 ETH from strategic investors.
  • White list: Bgogo’s public sale will be a Genesis Mining event (exact date to be confirmed) that will start 24 hours before mining is officially opened to the public. Only whitelisted users can participate. Details on the Genesis Mining event can be found here: https://bgogo.com/announcement?link=mining.
  • ERC20 token: Yes (will be switched to native tokens when the mainnet is launched)
  • Countries excluded: TBA
  • Timeline: TBA
  • Token distribution date: TBA

Website: https://bgogo.com

Whitepaper: https://bgogo.com/assets/white-paper/BGG-Token-Whitepaper-v1.8EN.pdf

2017- 2018Q2 Portfolio (Discontinued)

Desired Holdings

  How to read this portfolio: Please click on the Chart Key tab above for definitions and color codes. The colors correspond to our 7 categories in the graphic below.

Tier 4

ZIL

IAM

FT

DATA

ELEC

None.

Tier 2

MOD

 Tier 3

REQ

SUB

LINK

NANO

KNC

Tier 4

BNTY

TAU

WISH

PHR

LOCI

XBY

ELA

ECC

POE

HPB

BIX

EVE

XVG

NULS

DNA

How to read this portfolio: Ticker: Contains the ticker code for the coin. You can search this ticker in Coinmarketcap to learn more about the coin. The color denotes the risk tier by our evaluation. Dark Red = T1, Dark Green = T2, Dark Blue = T3, Light Blue = T4 (Colors in the Ticker column do not interact with the colors in the other columns) Cost Basis = Our average purchase price for this coin. Current price = The average price of the coin based on the exchanges it is listed on. Strategy = What we plan to do with this coin. Staking is receiving dividends for that coin. Master node is also staking, but with a higher return rate for having a (large) number of that coin. Stop = Our exit point, if it exists What do the colors mean? The colors in the ticker column represent the risk profile of that coin. The colors in the other columns reflect what sector(s) that coin belongs to. Some coins belong to multiple sectors, which is indicated by multiple colors. The colors correspond to our 7 categories in the graphic below

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