Crypto Market Commentary
4 April 2019
Doc's Daily Commentary
Doc’s Next Trade School will be Next Week
Today’s 4/4/2019 Trade School is in the Trade School archive
Our most recent “ReadySetLive” session is listed below;
Watch for a free class preview from Mav for Decentralized Finanace (DeFI) happening sometime soon!
Security Tokens + Derivatives
So, what’s a derivative and why are they going to be a major conversation for crypto assets, including security tokens, going forward?
A derivative is a financial contract between two or more parties that derives its value from an underlying asset ie. stocks, commodities or cryptocurrencies. An agreement to buy or sell a particular asset at a predetermined price and a specified time in the future. Derivatives do not have inherent or direct value by themselves. The value of a derivative contract is purely based on the expected future price movements of the underlying asset.
Cryptocurrency tokens are special kind of virtual currency tokens that reside on their own blockchains and represent an asset or utility. Tokenizing assets via Blockchain is maturing and we are already seeing great traction in the industry.
The main forms of derivatives are:
- Swaps: A swap is an arrangement between 2 parties to exchange a series of cash flows in the future. They are usually based on interest-bearing instruments such as loans, bonds or notes as the underlying asset. The most common form of swaps are interest swaps. It involves the exchange of a future stream of fixed interest rate payments for a stream of floating rate payments between 2 different counter-parties.
- Futures: A financial contract where a buyer has an obligation for a buyer to purchase an asset or a seller to sell an asset at a fixed price and a predetermined future price.
- Options: A financial contract where a buyer has the right (not an obligation) to purchase an asset or a seller to sell an asset at a predetermined price by a specific timeline.
Volatility on Volatile Assets
Crypto-derivatives represent the second layer of speculation on top of an already volatile crypto-asset. One of the main factors that drive the price of cryptocurrencies is news and market speculation. Hence, there are no easy ways to predict any of those. In an article written by Moonwhale, traditional market trading/ investing strategies may not be applicable. Complex hedging strategies or rebalancing function did not stop Crypto Hedge Funds from experiencing massive losses. If we add a mathematical model (derivatives) on top of that, we are adding a speculative vehicle on top of a volatile vehicle.
Are Security Tokens a Derivative?
Any form of security token can be considered a derivative because it derives value from the performance of an underlying asset. However, traditional derivative models include other aspects such as time constraints, obligation symmetry or settlement model. They do not quite fit the profile of security tokens. Therefore, security tokens can behave like derivatives while others trade more like first-tier asset classes.
Types and Models of Security Token Derivatives
As the security tokens market evolves, there are several derivative products that are likely to surface.
- Derivatives that Represent Security Tokens
These are mathematical models that speculate on the price of underlying security tokens that can represent alternative assets such as real estate, art, shares, gold or others.
- Security Tokens that Represent Market Derivatives
We can tokenize everything so tokens could represent market derivatives such as options or futures.
- The Forward-Futures Model
Smart contracts can specify the criteria to buy or sell a security token at a specified future time and at a previously agreed price. It follows the model of forward or futures derivatives in financial markets. These security token derivatives can follow the futures model if traded in centralized exchanges or the forward model if traded in decentralized exchanges.
- The Options Model
The owner of the security token option will have the right but not the obligation to buy or sell the underlying security token at a specified price on a specified date.
- The ETF Model
Exchange-traded-funds are viable for security tokens. ETF-like security tokens could represent the value of an underlying group of assets such as real estate leases, loans or private shares of different companies.
- The Swap Model
Security token derivatives can be similar like swap models in financial markets. It exchanges the dividends or cash flow produced by two different security tokens. By doing so, it can serve as a hedge or insurance against future market conditions.
- The Mutual-Fund Model
The mutual-fund model is better suited for enterprises. such as financial institutions that are looking to issue their own security tokens. Just like ETFs, Mutual-Fund tokens will aggregate a pool of security tokens. However, unlike ETFs, they won’t be actively traded and only priced at regular intervals.
So, this all begs the question: When will we see this implemented and usable? Perhaps sooner than you think.
Derivatives are a major part of today’s markets, and it stands to reason that as the Security Token and Crypto industries mature, so too will the derivatives being built on them.
An Update Regarding Our Portfolio
We are diligently working on providing you with our new RSC Managed Portfolio (V3.01) in the coming weeks. We will be posting iterative updates in the discord.
We intend on this portfolio being balanced between the Three Pillars of the Token Economy & Interchain:
Crypto, STOs, and DeFi projects.
We will also make a concerted effort to draw from community involvement and make this portfolio community driven, like our Portfolio call on yesterday’s Discord chat.
Thank you for your patience.
Here’s a sneak peek at the new portfolio:
Here’s our past portfolios for reference:
RSC Managed Portfolio (V2)
RSC Unmanaged Altcoin Portfolio (V2)
RSC Managed Portfolio (V1)